In January, New York Governor Cuomo, Riverkeeper, an environmental group, and Entergy, a nuclear utility, announced a joint agreement to shut down the two nuclear reactors at Indian Point (IP) by April 2021. Replacement power will be provided by clean energy sources consistent with New York’s Clean Energy Standard, which requires 50% of the State’s electricity to come from renewable energy by 2030. It is claimed that this can be achieved with a negligible cost to ratepayers. The plant currently provides carbon-free and low cost electricity for about one quarter of the power consumed by New York City and Westchester County. However, opponents of the plant argue that IP’s location poses a major risk to the nearby highly populated area if an accident were to occur.
A number of local legislators are questioning this joint agreement, pointing out that closure means significant job losses and a reduced tax base. The adequacy of the decommissioning fund also is in doubt, leaving the possibility that radioactive fuel will remain on site for many years, perhaps decades.
An alternative to closing IP would be to modernize the emergency plan, thus addressing the safety concerns. Instead of needing to evacuate 20 million people within 50 miles of IP, as many incorrectly believe, a much simpler and highly effective emergency response is available. At Fukushima, the Japanese were able to prevent any early fatalities from radiological sources by preemptively evacuating the inner two miles around the site and sheltering downwind. Many hours were available to implement this simple emergency response. According to the World Health Organization long term radiological health effects would be too small to even be detectable. If the Japanese can achieve essentially zero radiological health effects in spite of a greater than magnitude 9 earthquake and a towering tsunami, surely New York can use this modern emergency response to protect its citizens in the unlikely event of a reactor accident at IP.
According to a May 23rd Bloomberg announcement, ratepayers could end up paying as much as $3.9 billion/year for nuclear subsidies to keep these old plants on-line. Why should we be… Read more »
NY State has one of the most ambitious renewable energy programs in the nation, including its recent announcement that it would develop the nation’s largest offshore wind power system. Implementing… Read more »
The crux of the matter is that nuclear power is, along with hydroelectric, the most reliable low-carbon source for baseload/dispatchable power. Those who want to abandon older nuclear plants like… Read more »
Dr. Perelman, You are exactly right. NY State will be hard pressed to meet its goal of 50% renewable electricity by 2030, just 13 years away. But the State has… Read more »
Those are helpful details. However, you did not mention the possibility of New York importing Canadian hydroelectric power. At least that has been discussed by the principals: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-01-19/quebec-says-new-york-s-interested-in-importing-its-hydropower Worth noting… Read more »
The situation about importing Canadian hydropower is a bit unclear. In recent testimony before a joint meeting of the NY Senate and Assembly energy committees, Richard Kauffman, NY’s “Energy Czar”, testified… Read more »
You are right that there are reasons to think the Trump admin. might be hostile or at least unfavorable toward such a program. But the direction of the Trump admin.… Read more »
While a coal plant is probably 1000 times more dangerous than a nuclear plant by about any measure you would like to use (deaths per MWh, etc.) and the continued… Read more »
Dan: I have run into the irrational fear that you talk about. I have also run into people, whom I otherwise respect, who are opposed to Indian Point because it… Read more »
Herschel: The irrational fear of nuclear power is pervasive and embedded in the psyche of most Americans. Fukushima, Chernobyl, 3-Mile Island, all those drills where we had to hide under… Read more »
This is broadly true. But it can be overstated. There are different kinds of information. Broadcasting scientific findings generally doesn’t greatly impact strongly held beliefs. As Daniel Kahan summed up… Read more »
Lewis: I agree with you that attitudes can change over time. But time is not something we have a lot of now. Fortunately, if the proper incentives are put in… Read more »
Two problems with your argument Dan. 1. Wind, solar, and storage are not cost-effective (yet). They are not reliable, economical options for baseload/dispatchable power. The most affordable ‘storage’ now is… Read more »
Lewis: Renewables are cost-effective. In fact, over 60% of new electricity generation capacity in the US in 2016 came from renewables: http://www.triplepundit.com/2017/02/renewables-dominate-new-u-s-power-generation-2016/ So, “Pielke’s Law” shows that renewables are economical.… Read more »
Dan: I think a bit of caution is needed here lest someone thinks that renewable energy has solved our climate change concerns. First, it is better to compare output in… Read more »
Herschel: I would be the last person to say that renewables have solved our climate change concerns. While renewables will eventually take over electricity generation because they are cost competitive… Read more »
You can’t just talk about attitudes … when the climate change science has been subject to corporate disinformation. Read the Merchants of Doubt that describes the whole greedy attack from… Read more »
Jane: Bill O’Keefe, the CEO of the number one Merchant of Doubt organization, the George C Marshall Institute, is an “expert” that posts on OEP. He tells us not to… Read more »
Just switch to Lightbridge Accident Tolerant Fuel. This dramatically drops the fuel temperature below the 850C Zr water reaction temperature for the clad, so when flow is list the cladding… Read more »
I have followed this discussion with some interest and some amazement. The first striking “fact” was that old nuclear energy plants were subsidized to the tune of $3.9 Billion per… Read more »
Dear Andy, I must have missed the comment about old nuclear plants being subsidized at $3.9 billion per year. As to the Indian Point shutdown, I am just now writing… Read more »
I have now completed a draft in-depth review of the impending shut down of Indian Point. If anyone wants a copy please contact me at mhspecter@Verizon.net