Attitudes towards climate change vary. Some have doubts, but even fish know better as they migrate north to cooler waters. Meanwhile, advocates agree that human influence is clear, but they are divided on how to address climate change, with too much focus on individual energy sources when in reality all non-carbon sources of energy have major problems. The divisions amongst advocates can undermine national energy policies and render U.S. policymakers ineffective. But most importantly, divisions amongst advocates rallying for an ‘all-solar,’ ‘all-nuclear,’ or ‘all-anything’ energy system ignore large problems facing a carbon-free future and risk climate change failure.
There are numerous problems and realities facing a carbon-free future. In 2014 fossil fuels plus nuclear power produced 86% of the nation’s electricity. Replacing this 86% by 2050 would cost trillions of dollars and would require the equivalent of putting over two 1000 megawatt plants, at 90% capacity, online every month for the next 417 months. The California’s Energy Future study also concluded that California could not meet its GHG reduction goal of 80% below their 1990 level by 2050 because there is no recognized carbon-free way to replace high energy density liquid fuels. And finally, even if carbon-free electricity was brought into each of the 134 million housing units in the U.S. it still is not compatible with popular fossil fuel burning end-use devices, such as gas-fired space heaters. Carbon-free electricity is near useless unless you simultaneously create a carbon-free continuum with end-use devices.
Mother nature will burn our forests, cause droughts and flooding, drown out low-lying islands and coastal areas, and threaten food production. To mitigate these effects, our attitudes about climate must change. But this change is not confined to persuading the doubters, because a cooperative, multi-faceted approach to the impact of climate change is essential. The non-carbon electricity community needs to rethink its silo mentality and embrace diversity. Failing to deal with climate change because of the silo mentalities within the carbon-free community is inexcusable.
“Are policymakers moving fast enough in preventing/limiting the effects of climate change?” No, obviously. “If not, why?” Perhaps it has something to do with the fact that many policymakers are… Read more »
Dan, Carbon taxes might be a useful way to reduce GHG emissions, provided that carbon credits are not politicized. It is my understanding that the EPA wants to give nuclear… Read more »
Herschel: With Fee and Dividend (F&D), there are no carbon credits, just a simple rising fee on the carbon content of fossil fuels paid by fossil fuel companies at the… Read more »
Policy makers are not moving fast enough to address the Issue of climate change. I think there is a lack of understanding and focus on what needs to be done from… Read more »
Mike, My view is that energy conservation should receive highest priority. Not only is it often the least cost approach to balancing energy supply and demand, it has several other… Read more »
Herschel, I agree with you on pulling more energy out of our current process. We have created cars that get more miles per gallon. Why not get more kwh out… Read more »
The premise of Specter’s topic and the preceding comments is utopian. There is no “we.” The body politic is immensely fragmented among thousands of unique, contentious, and competitive factions. Advocates… Read more »
Dr. Perelman’s faith in the pragmatism of most people is comforting and serves as an antidote of some of the political antics and bad policy decisions we observe every day,… Read more »
The critics of climate change dogma are not dumber than fish and do not deny that the climate is measurably changing (it has been warming for 18,000 years and sea… Read more »
Captain Kiefer, You express regret at the characterization of complex issues as “one dimensional morality plays” – surely we can agree that mankind has a penchant for that. You yourself… Read more »
The harm being done today by ill-informed attempts to reduce carbon emissions is real and quantifiable, not theoretical. Biofuels is one of the worst offenders, and its promotion and subsidizing… Read more »
Capt Kiefer, You seemingly boundless faith in (your?) big numbers and the tacit emotional appeals to call out the misanthropy of the “central planners” you demonize is all so much… Read more »
On this forum on January 3rd, 2014, when Cushing WTI was $93.66/bbl and Brent Crude was $106.57/bbl and U.S. daily production was 7.8 MMBPD, I made an exact prediction. I… Read more »
Ike and William, Throwing brickbats at each other is a waste of time. Let us make the assumption that both sides of the climate change debate are sufficiently qualified and… Read more »
Ike: While I have no allusions that I will change your mind, for the benefit of others reading this thread, I will quickly respond to your 7 points: 1. Recent… Read more »
Anyone who wants to know what the scientific consensus on climate change is can read it for themselves in the 2013 IPCC AR5 Working Group 1 report, Climate Change: The… Read more »
Ike: As we discussed before, your are not the one who gets to interpret what the IPCC believes. You say you only believe the 2013 IPCC AR5 Working Group 1… Read more »
Ike, Your concern for the billions of people that need more energy to lift them out of poverty is praiseworthy. You brought up the history and benefits of coal. You… Read more »
Herschel, there is much we agree about. Coal and nuclear power have inarguable direct and indirect benefits, as well as direct and indirect costs. So do all forms of energy. … Read more »
The problems of carbon-free electricity are not insurmountable and I believe that change is happening primarily in the marketplace, and especially around the globe. While BNEF doesn’t see the levelized… Read more »
Jane, I share your concerns about the forecasting capabilities of EIA. Years ago I wrote to them, asking if they performed any self assessments. I asked, “Did any of your… Read more »
I certainly am not holding my breath for new numbers from EIA, but it is interesting to see that members of the Senate now believe that EIA needs to change… Read more »
Let me thank all those who have responded to the discussion paper “Climate Change Failure?”. My short answer is “Yes we are failing, for now”. At 5,396 million metric tons,… Read more »
Herschel, In reference to the exchanges between Ike and myself you suggested: “The point of disagreement seems to be man’s role in bringing about climate change.” I must say I’m… Read more »
I’m further puzzled by Herschel’s comments akin to “can’t we all just get along?” You can’t have an intelligent conversation about energy policy if you ignore the science of climate… Read more »