As articulated in Energy 20/20, my blueprint for a new U.S. energy policy conversation, I believe there is a consensus that it is in our national interest to make energy abundant, affordable, clean, diverse and secure. In addressing these goals, too often affordability is ignored – despite the difficult choices increasing energy costs impose on Americans. In particular, low-income households are highly vulnerable to energy prices because energy bills make up a larger percentage of their living expenses. These families are energy insecure, defined as the inability to afford to maintain a home at a reasonable temperature and the loss of access through cessation of service due to non-payment or other factors.
Senator Tim Scott (R-SC) and I have developed “Indicators of Energy Insecurity” (IEIs), enabling policymakers to consider, in quantitative terms, how a specific policy action will impact Americans (read more in Plenty At Stake: Indicators of American Energy Insecurity.) When energy prices rise, IEI’s can be used to quantify:
- The number of households that experience a significant decrease in spendable budget
- The number of households pushed below the poverty line
- The average household energy burden, expressed as a percentage of average gross income
From an initial application of the IEI concept to U.S. Census Bureau records, we determined that based on 2012 data, a 10% increase in household energy costs would lead to:
- 840,000 people across the U.S. being pushed into poverty
- 7 million additional people across the U.S. spending more than 10% of their gross household income on home energy, the threshold for entering energy insecurity.
Energy price increases often crowd out or eliminate other household essentials, including food, clothing, medical care and education, forcing low-income households to make difficult tradeoffs. The effects of these sacrifices are heightened odds of food insecurity, more frequent relocations, poorer health, decreased educational achievement and reduced productivity. Programs such as LIHEAP are limited in addressing an issue of this scope by a number of factors.
Any policy proposal that would increase the cost of energy should therefore be fully evaluated for its impact on energy insecurity, in order to give policymakers a complete picture of its potential consequences.
How can these new tools, the IEIs, inform the discussion of the nexus between energy policy and the affordability of energy? Why has this nexus received comparatively little attention? How best can federal policy help relieve energy insecurity and decrease costs for the American people?
Continued emissions of greenhouse gases due to the burning of fossil fuels poses a clear and present danger to the United States and its citizens. It is widely recognized that… Read more »
It is not climate change, but ill-advised climate change mitigation policies which are a clear and present danger to Americans and to the rest of the world. Climate change is… Read more »
Ike: Rather than correct every cherry-picked or just plain wrong item in your list, here are a few quick comments: 1. No increased droughts?? http://www2.ucar.edu/news/2904/climate-change-drought-may-threaten-much-globe-within-decades 2. Hiatus in global warming??… Read more »
Dan, Here are direct quotes from the 2013 IPCC AR5 WG1 report. This report was written by thousands of international climate scientists and represents the authoritative climate consensus. It recants… Read more »
Ike: Quoting the IPCC is fine, but your translations are incorrect. When the IPCC says “low confidence” it does not mean they have low confidence that the item being discussed… Read more »
Ike: You former bosses at the DOD think climate change poses a current threat to our nation: https://www.scribd.com/doc/242845848/Read-DoD-report-2014-Climate-Change-Adaptation-Roadmap “Climate change will affect the Department of Defense’s ability to defend the… Read more »
Dan, Yes I am aware that current administration political appointees are pushing bad policies in the name of climate change alarmism. That is why I wrote this and this while… Read more »
Ike, Here is something from the Navy in Norfolk where the land is sinking and the sea is rising … The DOD is taking actions where the state of Virginia… Read more »
See my comment to Dan above about the often large disparity in subject matter expertise, strategic acumen, and tactical expertise between political appointees kissing up to their bosses and the… Read more »
Ike … I did see your comment above. My thought was to mention the Hampton Roads, Norfolk area where the flooding is causing owners of real estate there, including the… Read more »
Jane, You say “sinking” and “flooding” as if the water is lapping at the doors. The global sea level has been rising for 18,000 years since the heart of the… Read more »
“Poor People in the Environment’, Clearinghouse Review (Jan. 1972) sketched out why poor people are more harmed by pollution than any other group.What Senator Murkowski states should be intuitive. “External… Read more »
The pollution that most hurts poor people is not the exhaust of fossil fuel power plants, it is the smoke from wood and straw and charcoal and dung biomass burned… Read more »
Our policymakers and regulatory agencies simply cannot ignore the fact that energy costs in the United States are on the rise. Since 2001, real energy costs for middle- and low-income… Read more »
Unfortunately, the damage caused by coal power — not including the impacts of climate change — exceeds the value of the electricity produced. When the impacts of climate change are… Read more »
It is absolutely wrong to ignore the social benefits of coal electricity and only count the social costs. It remains the cheapest and fastest way to extend the benefits of… Read more »
Ike: The benefit of coal is that it provides electricity. There are other ways to do that that don’t cause all the problems that coal does. The external costs of… Read more »
Dan, Most people also prefer living through the winter. The statistical correlation between increasing the price of electricity and excess winter mortality is very solid. And the worst alternatives to… Read more »
Ike: As you know, fossil fuels are heavily subsidized. A large part of the Navy’s mission is to protect oil supply routes. We spent ~$1T in Iraq. Do you think… Read more »
Dan, You said, “As you know, fossil fuels are heavily subsidized.” This claim is as dramatically incorrect as your other articles of faith on climate change. The fact is that… Read more »
Ike: There are many ways to calculate subsidies. You can count taxes paid (that any other company — including renewable energy companies would pay) to offset subsidies. Of course, the… Read more »
Dan, Once again you run from real data and cling to advocacy websites. I present IPCC direct quotes and you cite realclimate.org. I present DOE data presented to Congress and… Read more »
Dan, You like to speak of “cherry picking.” Well, you provide a great example in your 16 October comment above about rising sea levels. The reference you cite is entitled… Read more »
Ike: Thank you for the primer on sea level in the last glacial period. You see that sea levels were about 120m lower when CO2 levels were just 100ppm below… Read more »
Dan, I will try logic one more time. Your comments make the point that past sea level rise dwarfed today’s. This is true. It also dwarfs the IPCC predictions of… Read more »
Ike: Please. You show a graph showing results of sea level rise (SLR) over millions of years and you compare to SLR over 100 and 500 years. Ice sheets take… Read more »
Dan, Surface mass balance of Antarctica is positive 2,000 GT/yr, with 25mm to 1.5m of accumulation per year depending upon basin. Net mass balance on the continent (including the loss… Read more »
Ike: Sorry. As you said, you are entitled to your own opinion, but not your own facts: http://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/Grace/news/grace20121129.html#.VExsrIdUPzE “Ice Sheet Loss at Both Poles Increasing, Study Finds November 29, 2012… Read more »
Ike: Here’s some more information on polar ice mass balance: http://www.sciencemag.org/content/338/6111/1183 A Reconciled Estimate of Ice-Sheet Mass Balance ABSTRACT We combined an ensemble of satellite altimetry, interferometry, and gravimetry data… Read more »
Ike: Why do you criticize me for using papers from 2012 when you quote the IPCC from 2013, which only considers papers from 2012 and before? In any case, you… Read more »
Dan, Thank you for referencing a chart from IPCC 2013. BTW, even though you missed it, they did reference many 2013 studies and data, including Giesen and Oerlemans (2013), and… Read more »
Ike: The bottom line is that you like to pick out specific citations from climate scientists (and specifically, the IPCC), yet you deny their own conclusions. You also compare the… Read more »
Dan, Are you going to make policy recommendations based on scientific consensus or on political consensus? As you likely know but seem to be intentionally obscuring, there is exactly one… Read more »
Dan, Once again you “cherry pick.” Both of your citations are 2012 when the Arctic ice coverage was at its recent minimum and the alarmists were shrieking. Why do you… Read more »
The hard fact is that for the most part, the technology needed to make energy both clean and cheap does not yet exist. A commitment to accelerate energy technology innovation… Read more »
With improvements in turbine technology, wind energy is one of the most affordable forms of electricity today to meet clean energy and carbon reduction goals. However, the challenges and Achilles’… Read more »
I completely agree with Senator Murkowski. The poor are more harmed by poorly conceived, some say feel good energy policies. In Rhode Island, there is a proposal to build an… Read more »
The meme that there has been a pause in global arming is not supported by the facts. The oceans absorb 90% of global warming heat and warming of the oceans… Read more »
Once again, Dan, the UNIPCC recognizes the hiatus in global warming dating from 1998 in their official 2013 AR5 report. If you are going to insist this reality is just… Read more »
Ike: Global surface temperatures rose less than expected. This is due to variability, incorrect Arctic temperature interpolation, probably China’s expanded use of coal (creates more aerosols that reflect the sun),… Read more »
Dan, I hope others can appreciate the logical fallacy you just illustrated. You just attacked the 18-yr hiatus in global warming as being too short an interval from which to… Read more »
Ike: You have it turned around. You have been arguing that short-term variations in the advance of global temperatures implies that global warming has stopped and/or climate scientists are wrong.… Read more »
The central tenets of climate change alarmism that one can find in anything written from Stephen Schneider to Al Gore to Michael Mann to the White House Climate Assessment are… Read more »
Ike: Those are all predicted impacts of climate change and no major group I am aware of has recanted them. Some current impacts that can be attributed to climate change… Read more »
Dan, So the bark beetle is your evidence of global deforestation due to climate change? How about consulting the experts? AR5 says the evidence is that plant fertility and food… Read more »
Ike: CO2 can indeed lead to increased plant growth, as long as other factors remain favorable for growth, such as the availability of water and appropriate temperatures. I believe famers… Read more »
Senator Murkowski wants to identify a measurement for evaluating the impact of rising energy costs. That is probably ok, but it does not affect the rising energy cost itself. As… Read more »
A ready index for Ms. Murkowski is the fraction of income a household spends on essential energy services (space heat and cooling, water heat, cooking, sanitation & hygiene, lighting, transportation,… Read more »
Senators Murkowski and Scott’s proposal for “Indicators of Energy Insecurity” are measures of energy costs for U.S. households and impacts on low-income households. While these measures are important to consider,… Read more »
The water-energy nexus gets little attention in this otherwise comprehensive and well done position paper. Wet cooling of coal and nuclear power plants evaporates 1.8 liters of fresh water into… Read more »
Wilmot: I generally agree with your comments but I wonder why you did not also mention the impacts that coal and oil sands production will have on the climate for… Read more »
Water is a huge consideration for evaluating energy alternatives. Coal electricity has a water footprint of 22 liters of water for the energy equivalent of a liter of ethanol energy.… Read more »
Thanks, Ike, for mentioning the shocking water footprint of biofuels. EROEI of biofuels doesn’t look good either. An important new alternative energy source is the Rossi reactor, which in a… Read more »
The issue of energy poverty in the U.S. is not so different from that in the developing world. Although they employ different technologies, the bottom line for both populations is… Read more »
Senator Murkowski, You have written a “blueprint for discussion” in your 20/20 Energy paper. I appreciate your willing to have a discussion about energy policy but I am afraid that… Read more »
Jane, If you’re going to resort to the “97% consensus” and “there is no argument” and “the science is settled” — on any topic — then you immediately disqualify your… Read more »
Ike Gotta admit I just took NASA’s word for it … http://climate.nasa.gov/scientific-consensus/ “Consensus: 97% of climate scientists agree … Ninety-seven percent of climate scientists agree that climate-warming trends over the… Read more »
So you badger Ms. Murkowski based on something you heard secondhand and just accept on faith? There’s a lot of bandwagoning in place of science on this particular topic. The… Read more »
Good heavens! Badger Senator Murkoski? I don’t think so. Disagree? Yes. AND NASA said “97% of climate scientists agree” … not ALL scientists. I have not read through the transcript… Read more »
For the last 40+ years the holy grail of U.S. energy policy has been a source of energy that was domestic, super-abundant, and cheap. Lately, it also has had to… Read more »
I support the Senator’s view on the need to balance energy security, the environmental impact of energy production and use, and energy affordability. A reasoned debate on balancing these factors… Read more »
The idea of monitoring the effects of policies on the poor, including energy policies is laudable, but should not stand in the way of needed reforms to address climate change.… Read more »
One interesting use of these tools might be a retrospective on the 2009 economic collapse. One day on the news, people were interviewed on TV who said: “With gas prices… Read more »
One potential use for such indicators would be in regulatory impact analysis. For example, when evaluating the benefits and costs of a proposed rule, EPA will quantify the human health… Read more »