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Travel and business slowdowns across the world, in response to the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, have caused a sharp decrease in global oil demand and the lowest oil prices in 17 years. On March 5, members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries attempted to reach a deal that would extend the current 1.5 million barrels per day (MB/D) production cut in an effort to shore up prices. The talks failed, however, when Russian and Saudi energy ministers were unable to reach an agreement. Russian officials subsequently announced significant increases in their production levels, with Saudi ministers following suit… [more]View Insight
A Citigroup analysis of North American oil production suggests that the continent could become the “new Middle East.” The report, ENERGY 2020: North America, the New Middle East?, projects increased oil production as having significant effects throughout North American economies, with an increase in the United States’ real GDP of 2.0 to 3.3% from new production, reduced consumption, and associated activity. The report points out that “the main obstacles to developing a North American oil surplus are political rather than geological or technological.” In response to the growth in shale development, state and federal governments are crafting regulations to address… [more]View Insight