On Sept 2, 2020, OurEnergyPolicy hosted a webinar with Michael Shellenberger, founder and President of Environmental Progress, about his book Apocalypse Never and his views on how the energy sector can best meet modern challenges. Shellenberger, a long-time environmental activist, said he wrote his book because he was concerned that the conversation about climate change and the environment has become exaggerated and inaccurate. In his view, climate change is a real problem that should, and is being addressed. However, exaggerating its severity leads to negative outcomes, such as people opposing the best and most obvious solutions and imposing restrictions on developing countries that make it harder for people to improve their quality of life. Shellenberger said exaggerating climate impacts also has negative mental health consequences—in January, one out of five British children told pollsters they were having nightmares about climate change.
Shellenberger said a reason he is a proponent of nuclear power is that it has a far smaller land-use impact than other zero-carbon technologies. Energy density determines environmental impact, he said. Although common thinking is that wind and solar power are better for the environment, they require dramatically more land (300-400 times as much for wind power) than a nuclear plant. Shellenberger states that the energy density benefits of nuclear are such that, were we to meet our energy needs 100% by nuclear power (which, like wind and solar power, emits zero carbon emissions), humankind’s land footprint for energy would go to almost zero.
Waste from nuclear power, Shellenberger said, is not an issue but is actually the environmental solution to all other waste problems. Solar panels and wind turbines eventually go to landfills, and they are not likely to ever be recycled because buying materials fresh will always be cheaper. Shellenberger points out that the waste products of nuclear power (the used fuel rods) are not landfilled but are stored on the site of production and not externalized into the natural environment. The waste volume for nuclear is in orders of magnitude smaller than for wind and solar; all of the nuclear waste that the United States has ever generated could go on a single football field stacked 66 feet high.
Shellenberger gives more detail on these and other points in his book.
Webinar Recording
Question 1: Do you agree that the threats of climate change have been exaggerated or do you feel that they have not been taken seriously enough by society? What energy… Read more »
The threats of climate change have certainly not been exaggerated. If anything, the public (and the media) does not fully appreciate the dangers that lie ahead. A part of the… Read more »
In general, they are not taken nearly seriously enough. I thought it was particularly ironic that Shellenberger was making the argument that things haven’t changed much at the very moment… Read more »
There is no simple answer to this question because the media both over and under exaggerates the dangers in several stories. In general, most people do not fully appreciate all… Read more »
I’m a little conflicted about this one. I’ve long admired Mr. Schellenberger for his integrity as an environmentalist. He went from an early knee-jerk anti-nuclear position (because anti-nuclear activism permeated… Read more »
First, I object to the wording of this question. Do I agree with such an absurd assertion that climate change has been exaggerated? Of course not. And whether or not… Read more »
In 2005 and then again in 2019, all eleven National Academies of Science joined for the first time, In 2005, they said “Climate change is real. There will always be… Read more »
Fearless, unconventional, but well-argued perspectives like Shellenberger’s are valuable because in the U.S. today there are many pressures for conformity to given conceptual tracks. From my perspective, it’s impossible to… Read more »
In my view, the discussion of the consequences of climate change are themselves a disaster. People often complain about the current world discussion of covid, but it is a model… Read more »
I do not think the climate change threat is exaggerated if anything it is not being discussed enough. Especially with the weather patterns and the enhanced storms the warming effect… Read more »
Agreed. Here a few things everyone (including Mr. Shellenberger) should know about climate change: 1. The CO2 we put into the atmosphere stays there for hundreds to thousands of years,… Read more »
1) I’m sure some writings on climate change have exaggerated. But the consensus view — among climate protection advocates– is if anything understated. There are three strands of argument that… Read more »
Climate change indeed has not been taken seriously enough by society, something unfortunate. We are still debating the science where we should rather focus on policy and an action plan.… Read more »
Question 1. First, I agree with Michael Shellenberger that environmental alarmism is harmful. Global warming is Physics 101 and is a major driver of climate. I rely on climate and… Read more »
Climate change is certainly not being taken seriously enough, as evidenced most spectacularly by the west coast of the US being on fire. Earlier in the year, it was the… Read more »
There is no denying that climate change is real and occurring and has taken place since the earth was created. The alarmist claims currently being made by many in the… Read more »
Whether or not we are exaggerating, not much is being done. The rate at which the world is changing to low-carbon strategies will make almost no difference by mid-century. The… Read more »
Some of the particularly apocalyptic outcomes that some advocates e anticipate diminish their credibility. Climate change is real. However, such concerns as having a reliable supply of energy even during… Read more »
What particular apocalyptic outcomes and what advocates are you referring to? Are you suggesting that action on climate change is a lower priority that maintaining a reliable grid? And note… Read more »
The facts don’t support your assertions regarding distributed generation. Puerto Rico’s solar and wind installations were trashed by the hurricane. On the other hand, the South Texas Project (STP) (a… Read more »
I was not suggesting that the nuclear plant would go offline, but rather that transmission lines can be and are damaged and destroyed in some natural disasters.
Question 2: Do energy density and land-use environmental impacts need to be a larger part of the conversation on climate change and environmental issues? If so, how? Do you see… Read more »
No. The carbon content of energy should be the primary concern. If Mr. Shellenberger is concerned about land use, he should advocate for a ban on cattle and roads. We… Read more »
Indeed, these are the unmentioned elephants in the room for ALL the aspirational renewables conversations. Calculating the “cost” of wind and solar without accounting for SITING costs is just pure… Read more »
Yes, but energy-density and land use are only some of the issues that need to be factored into climate change conversations. In so much as many proponents of renewables do… Read more »
Land area is at a premium in states such as California. We must include energy density and land-use enviornmental impacts in the energy planning and evaluation process. Even more important… Read more »
Nuclear power operates independently of California’s aging and vulnerable bulk natural gas transmission and storage system.
Yes, energy density and land-use environmental impacts do need to be a larger part of the conversation. They matter in two ways. One is the direct environmental impact of high… Read more »
I know this that “the gird can’t handle a high percentage of renewables” is a mantra, but it is just not true. Denmark is already at ~50% renewables on its… Read more »
Dan, It’s not a matter of what the grid “can” or “can’t” handle in any absolute sense. It’s an economic issue of return on investment and what can realistically get… Read more »
I don’t understand the concept that our electricity grid must be economically optimized. It never has been. The external costs of fossil fuels are enormous and they never were included… Read more »
For external costs to be factored into project planning decisions in the way you want, either project planning must be a state monopoly, or the external costs must be formally… Read more »
By “we”, I mean society as a whole. And, yes, government must step in to regulate markets so that external costs are included in planning and deployment decisions (so that… Read more »
Absolutely not. Land use issues is just a red herring. And frankly, the notion that nuclear uses less land evaporates when when considers the size and magnitude of existing and… Read more »
Actually, nuclear exclusion zones make wonderful wildlife habitat. It would be nice to have more and larger ones — even though the actual need for anything more than a few… Read more »
The land use question is misused by Mr. Shellenberger. He just focusses on generation but the world used over 8.5 billion tons of coal per year, so the land used… Read more »
2) Land-use management is critical — as the Western fires and community flooding in the heartland demonstrate. But the consumption of land for generation of renewable electricity is an absurdly… Read more »
Question 2. Energy density and land-use environmental impacts are important in many areas but in general will not be a show-stopper for renewable energy development. The continental US is blessed… Read more »
Question 3: Do you agree that waste from wind and solar is a larger issue than waste from nuclear? How can we sustainably manage waste from zero-carbon energy technologies?
Yes, I totally agree. The life-cycle waste for wind and solar is almost certainly more destructive and difficult to manage than the waste from nuclear. If we do a little… Read more »
The volume of wastes generated by renewables is several orders of magnitude greater that what is produced by nuclear fission reactors. However, the economic and social acceptability of disposing of… Read more »
Waste from solar and wind power installations will likely be mostly landfilled as it is not practical to recycle a large fraction of the volume that will be generated. Furthermore,… Read more »
Let’s answer the question with a few questions. Are the technologies necessary to sustainably and cost effectively manage nuclear waste in place today? Do sustainable and cost effective technologies already… Read more »
Nuclear waste – transuranic wastes, sometimes called TRU, account for most of the radioactive hazard remaining in high-level waste after 1,000 years, longer than any government on the planet. While… Read more »
3) Both nuclear power and wind and solar, at the end of their useful life, leave behind toxic metals. Those embodied in the nacelles of wind turbines, or the cells… Read more »
Came back to this and was struck by one comment – “renewable energy land use is not a significant problem.” Recognize this was possibly limited to the waste issue but… Read more »
Question 3. Wastes from wind, solar and biofuels, and from nuclear fuels, and industries in general, will continue to be ongoing problems but need to be managed in different ways… Read more »
I’d like to add a technology into the mix, Renewable Natural Gas taking municipal solid waste and turning it back into Hydrocarbons has the potential to eliminate landfills the GHG… Read more »
I agree that municipal solid waste is an important resource. We should be taking more advantage of it. That could be by anaerobic digestion of organic matter to produce bio-methane,… Read more »
I should have added a caveat to my reply above: while I’m all in favor of producing gas and usable hydrocarbons from MSW, I’m skeptical that it can scale sufficiently… Read more »
What particular apocalyptic outcomes and what advocates are you referring to? Are you suggesting that action on climate change is a lower priority that maintaining a reliable grid? And note… Read more »
The facts don’t support your assertions regarding distributed generation. Puerto Rico’s solar and wind installations were trashed by the hurricane. On the other hand, the South Texas Project (STP) (a… Read more »
I was not suggesting that the nuclear plant would go offline, but rather that transmission lines can be and are damaged and destroyed in some natural disasters.
To get on solid ground and promote useful constructive dialog I suggest we consider the experience of nations that are doing better than we are in energy and environmental policy.… Read more »