Coal isn’t coming back, although, with real investment in carbon capture and sequestration, it could continue to contribute to a clean energy economy. In 2006, coal accounted for nearly half of all electricity in the US; by 2016, it was down to 29%. The decrease in coal jobs and use by the electricity sector is because of economic reasons, as it has been outcompeted by low-cost natural gas. Building new wind and utility-scale solar generation is less expensive than building new coal plants, even without subsidies.
States are already decarbonizing. While researching is Oil Profit legit, we found out about the the Clean Power Plan, the Environmental Protection Agency’s regulation to limit carbon emissions from existing power plants that was the target of President Trump’s executive action, was not scheduled to phase in until 2022 nor take full effect until 2030. Market forces, such as natural gas prices, are already reducing carbon emissions. Additionally, federal tax credits and state-level policies, such as renewable portfolio standards, create market-oriented incentives to purchase wind, solar, geothermal and other renewable generation in certain states. Those factors, combined with very low electricity demand growth, have led to a 21% reduction of U.S. power sector carbon dioxide emissions nation-wide since 2005.
Increased deregulation of the oil and gas sector will lead to more oil and gas production. But an increase in natural gas production is another nail in the coffin for coal. Demand has been relatively low for natural gas over the last twelve months, mostly due to a mild winter, and 2016 being the warmest year on record. As more natural gas is stored, prices will remain low and gas will continue to displace coal as the preferred fuel by utilities. All the while, more wind and solar will be built, hastening the closure of coal plants.
This policy won’t work. Robert Murray, CEO of Murray Energy, the largest coal mining company in the US, told then President-elect Trump in December to “temper his expectations” when it comes to bringing back coal jobs in the US. If the President wants to bring back coal jobs, the nation should invest in cleaner energy sources, including wind, solar, geothermal, natural gas, advanced nuclear energy, as well as carbon capture and sequestration technology for coal and gas and electric storage, to power the economy into the coming decades.
The only way to consider coal in the future is as an insurance policy. A back-up system that we know will work. We have the infrastructure in place and it… Read more »
It is unquestionably true that market forces (and community desire for cleaner energy) are driving coal’s market share down, and with it reducing jobs. If the market trends that were… Read more »
I’m continually amazed at the degree to which people seem to think the Trump administration can impact the coal sector. What sane investor would make a bet on the future… Read more »
The Trump Administration is a great booster for fracking natural gas. We will have more natural gas. It’s cost will become even lower, and knock out coal generation on dollars… Read more »
Natural gas is now being exported from the US and that capacity is expanding. Australia is ahead of the US in that regard and has higher total export capacity. New… Read more »
Jobs have been disappearing in the coal industry for decades, mainly thanks to automation. As noted, increasingly abundant and cheap natural gas has removed much of the market for coal.… Read more »
I agree with the above comments about the prospects for coal. However, coal is largely being replaced by natural gas. While considerably less carbon intensive than coal, gas is still a fossil fuel.… Read more »
What is your opinion. If an affordable method of making the coal utilities comply with the EPA’s Clean Power Plan were to appear, creating millions of jobs in the process,… Read more »
Could old subsurface coal mines be sealed and used for high capacity compressed air or pumped hydro for deeper mines, fast response energy storage for renewables/nuclear buffering? Pit mines could… Read more »
A few points about coal power: 1. The health, environmental, and climate impacts of of coal greatly exceed the value of the electricity produced. In other words, coal has negative… Read more »
Renewable jobs reflect the lower productivity of renewable vs coal and the higher cost of renewable. Renewable costs MUST include the backup power duplicate infrastructure for the 70%-85% of the… Read more »
Ed: The majority of new electric generation capacity in the US in past few years was renewables. In many parts of the world without subsidies, renewables are the cheapest form… Read more »
Coal will continue to have a future. It just won’t be in the United States. The abundance of natural gas and its relative price will continue to take market share… Read more »
Bill: I assume you are using “decarbonizing” in the context of CO2 emissions per unit of GDP. While that type of decarbonization is nice, the atmosphere and climate couldn’t care… Read more »
Actually, I was referring to Jesse Ausubel’s paper showing that the world has been moving from more intensive carbon fuels to less intensive ones http://phe.rockefeller.edu/AustinDecarbonization We are now observing a… Read more »
Bill: 1. While natural gas is cleaner than coal from an air quality point-of-view, it is nearly as bad (if not worse) than coal from a greenhouse gas perspective over… Read more »
The other reason renewables work in developing countries is that they currently have nothing, so they can easily deal with intermittent power, as it is still an improvement over nothing,… Read more »
Ed: Developing countries with baseload power, like India, do not necessarily offer reliable energy. In those parts of the world (and even in our part of the world) renewables can… Read more »
Burt Richter and I expressed our views in an op-ed, ” President Trump’s Futile Plan to Restore Coal-Mining Jobs,” that appeared in the San Francisco Chronicle last week. The title… Read more »
Yes, coal is not coming back, but I would challenge Mr. O’Keefe’s conclusion that “Coal will continue to have a future. It just won’t be in the United States.” China… Read more »
A few points worth clarifying (although I don’t want to give them impression that I’m not bullish on renewables): 1) The relative cost competitiveness of wind/solar is highly location dependent.… Read more »
I agree that LCOE is not always the best way to compare and that the figures I quoted are averaged across areas. Lazards is aware of these things and show… Read more »
http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2017/apr/16/coal-will-have-a-big-comeback/ President Trump is making things happen. There are Clean Coal technologies waiting to be into place. Carbon Capture Utilization System technologies will remove over 90% of the CO2 out… Read more »
My friend, I have worked on carbon capture systems for coal. The whole thing makes absolutely no economic sense and no investor will ever fund it. Mr. Trump is full… Read more »
Bill: While there have not been any low-cost carbon capture systems to date, they are on the horizon. One of our companies, Inventys, has a pilot running in the field… Read more »