A number of scholars, from the left and the right have floated versions of a carbon tax. Henry Paulson has also weighed in, favoring a tax.
In theory, a uniform comprehensive carbon tax enforced among all major global emitters might have great advantages. Such a tax, if linked to a stringent accounting system, could be more transparent than any other approach to greenhouse gas control. In contrast to command-and-control schemes, a tax would target abatement resources to where they would be most cost-effective. A tax, unlike the 2009 cap-and-trade bill, would make it harder for proponents to falsely promise both low abatement costs and large emission cuts. Logically, a tax could replace the confused jumble of wasteful special interest laws such as CAFE standards, Renewable Fuels Standards, and Renewable Portfolio Standards.
Yet there are a number of very strong objections to a U.S. carbon tax. Even a very high price on carbon emissions would have almost no impact on global climate. Credible theories of geopolitics imply that U.S. action on abatement will have little or no impact on the policies of Beijing, Moscow, and New Delhi. While a uniform tax would be more efficient, history suggests that strong interest groups will be able to use a tax to create loopholes for themselves and handicaps for their competitors. To the extent that they do, cost-effectiveness will suffer. A tax is also more likely to lead to fuel switching than to technological revolutions. Then too, it is highly unlikely that it will be possible to sweep away the current jumble of command-and-control measures all purporting to internalize the damage from climate change. If so, identifying the right tax rate would become quite a challenge.
Finally, many observers doubt the political realism of a U.S. carbon tax. Environmental groups fear that, were the costs of abatement more transparent, the public world balk at paying them. Many Republicans reject all new taxes as offering unwanted alternative to cutting wasteful government spending.
“Would a carbon tax effectively combat climate change?”
I do not believe such a tax could be enforced on a global basis. Consider that the world would have to agree on protocols for measurement and verification of emissions… Read more »
I disagree. A carbon tax would be a form of sales tax on fuel, levied according to the fuel type’s well known fossil carbon content. Monitoring would be much less… Read more »
I agree with Jack. A global carbon tax is the “right” answer, but is utterly unenforceable. A growth oriented country like China is unlikely to successfully enforce such a tax,… Read more »
Well, the world solved the (non-trivial) problem of collecting a global fee on CFC’s, so while there would be imperfections, there is no reason to assume they would be fatal.… Read more »
Hi Carl, as Jack Short rightly notes, governments have strong motives to free ride on greenhouse gas abatement; therefore, they can either refuse to take part in all accords that… Read more »
Sorry, Lee, but you haven’t dealt with the obvious way to encourage nations to both adopt and comply such a tax. Use trade access as the lever — establish a… Read more »
Carl, that you think that U.S. coercive trade diplomacy could bludgeon the rest of the world into GHG control surprises me. Making the border tax adjustment (BTA) of a U.S.… Read more »
Carbon taxes should be one important component of an overall strategy to address climate change. Carbon taxes on oil and coal production would result in lower consumption of these fuels… Read more »
Thanks, as usual, Lee for your thoughtful comments. While I agree that a carbon tax in the United States, in itself, would not be sufficient to drive massive fuel switching… Read more »
Wil, your comments, as always, raise good questions. Scott Barrett of Columbia maintains that the relatively low compliance costs of the Montreal Protocol make it a poor analogy to CO2.… Read more »
Lane’s skepticism is justified, as are the doubtful comments from Shortt and Brown,. First, let’s dismiss the naive notion that a self-imposed carbon pricing scheme would somehow bolster US “moral… Read more »
While a carbon tax has economic reasoning, to answer the question ““would a carbon tax effectively combat climate change?” in a word – No. Even if a carbon tax could… Read more »
Since Cap and Trade failed people have said that Dr. Chu and DOE actually accomplished more GHG reductions than the Cap and Trade legislation would have. DOD has also accomplished… Read more »
Carbon Tax is just a procedure to get more money for government to waste on their no technology spending. Proper technology should be cost effective and successful in the marketplace.… Read more »
America has natural gas. A lot of it. The problem is, it also wastes a lot of it. Natural gas can be consumed to near 100% energy efficiency. The residential… Read more »
“The power to tax is the power to destroy” http://www.thepublicdiscourse.com/2012/08/6096/ The taxing power of Congress can destroy coal power, but would that be wise when there is nothing ready to… Read more »
Yes, a properly implemented carbon tax would be very effective. The best way to implement a carbon tax is a “Fee and Dividend” policy. With a Fee and Dividend policy,… Read more »
Dan, I found this report to have some very curious results without substantive explanation. For example, the industry deemed to have the greatest increase in contributions to GDP and jobs… Read more »
Dawn: I didn’t prepare the study, so I can’t answer your specific questions. You can get in touch with REMI and/or Synapse. But I do think it makes sense that… Read more »
Before asking whether or not a carbon tax could be an effective tool to combat climate change, it’s probably more important to understand what the objective of the tax would… Read more »
Bill: The purpose of a carbon fee or tax is to internalize the external costs of carbon pollution. As it is now, the price of fossil fuels does not include… Read more »
A U.S. carbon tax would likely reduce U.S. CO2 emissions, but as for combating climate change, its effect would be negligible. The numbers are fairly clear.Even if the U.S. cut… Read more »
Peter: The Fee and Dividend policy (see my post above) addresses many of the concerns you raise. 100% of the money collected goes back to the public on an equal… Read more »
Dan: Let’s be clear about one part of your argument: the border duties you refer to are in fact, tariffs. There has never been a tariff bill in US economic… Read more »
Peter: Border duties are indeed tariffs. While the Fee and Dividend policy is quite easy to implement, the border duty is more complex. However, the existing tariff regime is quite… Read more »
While the USA and other western nations joust at the windmill of demonized carbon, many more real and immediate threats face us. These include growing water scarcity, bioterrorism, pandemic disease,… Read more »
Ike: On the business-as-usual path we are on, global temperatures will increase by +4ºC or more by the end of the century. That’s pretty much Game Over for civil society.… Read more »
What is your source for that global warming trajectory? It is not the IPCC. There is so much knowledge pollution. Does anyone actually read the scientific reports before forming their… Read more »
Many sources point to a +4ºC or more world under business-as-usual emissions. Here is one from MIT: http://globalchange.mit.edu/files/document/MITJPSPGC_Rpt169.pdf And you’re wrong about the IPCC not predicting such temperatures. From the… Read more »
Dan, You said “On the business-as-usual path we are on, global temperatures will increase by +4ºC or more by the end of the century.” That seems to be a clear… Read more »
Ike: It’s interesting that you like to quote the IPCC and they say their summary document is a political piece. This is called cherry picking. Also, you reference “climate misinformer”… Read more »
Pricing carbon should promote energy efficiency and nudge the competitiveness of alternative fuels. While not subscribing to the “international moral authority” argument, I do believe a well-structured carbon price would… Read more »
David: A fee and Dividend policy (see my post above) does not have the problems you cite. It is anti-regressive (the poor make more money from the dividend that they… Read more »
A carbon tax or emissions fee RESTRICTED to the electric power grid sector, COUPLED to removal of CO2 from EPA’s responsibility under the Clean Air Act, could make life better… Read more »
In principle, a much better idea than a cap-and-dole Act and the Clean Air Act regulations.
While cap and trade might make a marginal difference even if the entire world does not join in, that idea would almost certainly increase energy costs in any number of… Read more »
Bruce: A few points and a question. The purpose of carbon pricing policies is to make producers pay for the external costs they create but do not pay for. This… Read more »
Nobody has mentioned the subset of fracked gas! This is one area where the mechanism already exists to include the cost of carbon fuel at its true cost to society.… Read more »
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